Archive for February, 2010

Leftist Shades of FDR–If you’re not worrying yet, then start!

The past is indeed prologue. I cringed at the leftist thought process when reading Stan Isaacs article today in The Philadelphia Inquirer, Obama should expand the court. In other words, pack the court. Shame on me, I should not have cringed at all. We are governed by the radical leftist, the Constitution doesn’t matter, Obama appoints unconfirmed “tzars,” he rules, he dictates, checks and balances are meant to be evaded. “Reconciliation” is the latest example!

Comrade Isaacs correctly points out that the Constitution does not specify the size of the Supreme Court. The number of justices is set by Congress and has shifted between five and ten, but hasn’t budged from nine since 1869.

Some of us are too young to recall Roosevelt’s attempt to “pack the court” in the ’30s when the “nine old men” declared some of his New Deal legislation unconstitutional. In short FDR failed in his scheme. Isaacs suggest that Obama could “quarterback” a change loading the court with puppets doing his bidding. He further suggests that this is “change we could believe in!”

These people are dangerous, to the core. Pray for the sake of our country and our grandchildren that the Senate changes hands in November. The life appointments to the court, requiring Senate confirmation, are what ultimately guard our Constitutional values.

Tom Motherway

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“You Can’t Borrow Against the Future…You Don’t Have One”

I can’t say it any better than Mark Steyn does in today’s NRO post, When Responsibility Doesn’t Pay. Here are a few lines as a tease to the whole article–a must read if there ever was one!

“While Barack Obama was making his latest pitch for a brand-new, even-more-unsustainable entitlement at the health-care “summit,” thousands of Greeks took to the streets to riot. An enterprising cable network might have shown the two scenes on a continuous split-screen — because they’re part of the same story. It’s just that Greece is a little further along in the plot: They’re at the point where the canoe is about to plunge over the falls. America is farther upstream and can still pull for shore, but has decided instead that what it needs to do is catch up with the Greek canoe. Chapter One (the introduction of unsustainable entitlements) leads eventually to Chapter Twenty (total societal collapse): The Greeks are at Chapter Seventeen or Eighteen.”

“What’s happening in the developed world today isn’t so very hard to understand: The 20th-century Bismarckian welfare state has run out of people to stick it to. In America, the feckless, insatiable boobs in Washington, Sacramento, Albany, and elsewhere are screwing over our kids and grandkids. In Europe, they’ve reached the next stage in social-democratic evolution: There are no kids or grandkids to screw over. The United States has a fertility rate of around 2.1 — or just over two kids per couple. Greece has a fertility rate of about 1.3: Ten grandparents have six kids have four grandkids — ie, the family tree is upside down. Demographers call 1.3 “lowest-low” fertility — the point from which no society has ever recovered. And, compared to Spain and Italy, Greece has the least worst fertility rate in Mediterranean Europe.”

“So you can’t borrow against the future because, in the most basic sense, you don’t have one. Greeks in the public sector retire at 58, which sounds great. But, when ten grandparents have four grandchildren, who pays for you to spend the last third of your adult life loafing around?”

Click on the link above and read on….you’ll see that California is further along in the chapters!

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Paul Ryan LIVE–Ya gotta love this guy!

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California Businesses Welcome in Nevada

One of the round table topics at our recent Reno Hayek Symposium dinner was state taxes and business environment. How did Nevada compare? Granted, Nevada has a deficit of some $880 Million, but that pales in significance to California’s, our immediate left coast neighbor has a current deficit of some $20 Billion. Remedies for each seem intractable but the pain index is surely greater the farther West you go.

Mark Bailey referred me to some testimony which highlighted a midyear 2009 comparison between the 50 states. The Tax Foundation presents an interesting comparison of data then available, “2009 Facts & Figures–How Does Your State Compare?’ I’ve shown below some selected categories (click image to enlarge):

Now this is just a thought, but I suspect that California taxes and fees and costs of doing business are going to increase. It’s a good bet they will increase at a more rapid rate than those in Nevada. Also, I would venture a guess that the total cost of living will proportionately increase and with the same dichotomy.

California businesses must compete internationally, particularly those in the tech world. And with the Obama deficit, debt, and unfunded liabilities about to create national pressure on all businesses, any advantage a business can gain at the margin will help it remain competitive worldwide.

So, all you frustrated California developers who have tech clients, come on over to Reno and take a look. We will be happy to introduce you to the people and the area. It’s really a friendly, help-your-neighbor place. Oh, and we’ll do our best to retire Harry Reid in November. Pity, but ol’ Nancy Pelosi will still be in office!

Tom Motherway


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A Matter of Style

Effective communication is essential, especially for political leaders. Some obvious rules of thumb:

  • Know your audience.
  • Get close to them.
  • Be comfortable and relaxed.

For example, here is what Obama needs for a talk to a few school children. As you can see, there’s not much room for the kids. Note: the secret service guy in the back is not taking any chances with any terrorist-type 8-year olds!

And, here’s what the last guy needed.

BOY, THANK GOD FOR TELEPROMPTERS!

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Obama Can’t Answer Paul Ryan

Stephen Spruiell’s succinct report today in NRO, Ducking and Dodging, clearly sets out the Obamacare fiscal deficiencies highlighted today by Paul Ryan. Representative Ryan blasted Obama’s “insurance care” today and none of the Democrats could counter his arguments. Basically he pointed out that Obamacare front-loads tax hikes and Medicare cuts and defers costs, forcing the CBO to score ten years of offsets with only six years of spending! The true cost of the bill is $2.3 Trillion not the $950 Billion advertised by Obama.

Ryan focused further on other Democratic gimmicks:

  • Double Counting: “savings” are counted as offsets for spending and at the same time reserved to pay for future entitlements. Example, $52 Billion in Social Security tax increases.
  • “Doc Fix”: The bill’s 21% cut in Medicare reimbursements is put back in via separate legislation not subjected to combined CBO scoring.

And what does the wimpy Obama say in response? “We have some strong disagreements on the numbers, but I don’t want to get too bogged down!” If there were disagreement you would think he would have answered the criticisms.

As for getting bogged down, Obama should start getting real bogged down in his record breaking deficits, unsustainable national debt and bankrupting unfunded liabilities. Instead he is hell-bent-for-leather to add to that trio of financial irresponsibility. And this at a time of high unemployment when small businesses won’t hire because of the uncertainty, regulation and taxes proposed with Obamacare!

I guess destruction of our economy is a small price to pay for these socialists to gain total control of that economy. You’d think they would see it as a bad bargain.

I pity our future generations.

Tom Motherway

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When Insurance Is Not Insurance

The Democrats’ goal of healthcare rapidly turned into health “insurance” care. This to supposedly provide healthcare to some inflated numbers of people who had no healthcare. But by law everyone has healthcare, just get to the emergency room and you will be cared for with or without insurance. So the leftist needed another tack to take over 16% of the U.S. economy. Thus Obamacare magically became Obama insurance.

Health insurance is not “insurance” in any true sense of the word. True insurance is a contingent indemnity against loss provided by a business that assesses and pools specific risks. As Clifford Asness states in his Bloomberg.com article today, “Don’t Ask” Is No Way to Run Health Care, “true insurance comprises two things: The first is a goal: to protect against very large losses. The second on is a method: the proper assessment and pricing of risk.” So fire insurance assesses the risk of occurrence of fire in a specific location and the expected degree of damage from fire in that location. Facts and circumstances like construction type, proximity to a fire plug or station, and repair or replacement costs are taken into account. Since others need such insurance like risks will be pooled and spread by the insurance company. To cover expected losses, that company will maintain reserves and beyond that has its owners capital. Companies can incur underwriting profits or losses depending on their experience in the specific insurance pools.

Health “insurance” in this country amounts to prepaid health care expenses. It does not indemnify against only large risks but prepays for every cold and sniffle. In fact it is practically speaking the only way in which medical providers get paid for their services. It is this fact–third party payment–that causes overuse and unnecessary costs.

Think about it. Employer provided insurance benefits are an expensive cost of compensation, yet they are not taxable as compensation to the insured employee, even though they are deductible to the employer. From the employee’s perspective, medical service is a free service.

“Having businesses offer full health coverage almost from the first dollar spent is phenomenally inefficient. Health care is over-consumed because it is essentially, at the margin, free to employees and too cheap — fully deductible — to the company. All incentive for the consumer to control costs is abandoned. Furthermore, the system is nonportable and famously bureaucratic, with the associated costs in time, money and frustration.

“To put the “insurance” back in health insurance, we need to remove the tax deduction for routine health-care expenses, whether the coverage is purchased by employers or individuals. If we choose to retain a deduction for insurance against large losses, it should apply equally to plans bought by individuals directly and those provided by employers.

“Among other benefits, this would remove a large tax deduction and the savings could be used to reduce other tax burdens. It would also solve the portability problem because without a tax advantage at work most individuals would purchase their own insurance. Most importantly, by buying their own insurance, designed to protect against only relatively large losses, individuals would become conscious of medical costs.”

In short, we need Consumer Driven Health Care (CDHC) where consumer pays for what he gets. He will spend economically both on high deductible insurance and generic drugs. His policy will be portable. It will be highly competitive if companies can cover across state lines and if tort reform reduces the costs of defensive medicine. With increased use of Health Savings Accounts costs will be further reduced. And yes, major pre-existing diseases can be inexpensively covered by subsidized high risk pools.

Tom Motherway

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Obamanomics Will Lead To Our Demise

I don’t know whether to laugh or cry to see the dynamic trio, Obama-Reid-Pelosi, ramming Obamacare down our throats at the small price tag of $950 Billion, oh yes and price controls on private insurers, expensive mandates on employers, and the government take over of 16% of the U.S. economy. Employers are not hiring, not investing, and not borrowing. At the very time jobs are needed businesses face health care uncertainty, higher taxes, falling consumer sentiment and high unemployment. Why invest if there aren’t going to be any consumers around to consume? Consumption is three quarters of the economy!

The only jobs the non-stimulus stimulus has created are government jobs–that would be the non-productive jobs that are a drag rather than a stimulus to the economy.

Speaking of economy, Robert Robb pens a dynamite article in Real Clear Politics today, The Chief Economic Worry About Democrats. With syllogistic logic he points out the elites lack of appreciation of investment capital and its function in the economy. Liberals assume a given level of economic output, a dangerously false assumption. Output doesn’t just happen it depends on investment capital. The government cannot supply that capital but can only redistribute what it takes by way of taxes. What it takes in taxes is withdrawn from private productive investment.

“Producers have to produce before consumers can consume. But producers cannot produce ex nihilo. Investment capital provides the financial bridge between production and consumption….In reality, however, the affluent provide most of the country’s investment capital. They are the ones with discretionary income. What the rich do with their money is very important economically.

“The Democrats want to raise taxes on the affluent and on corporations (which are repositories of investment capital). The numbers, and their effect on investment capital, are staggering..So, between Obama’s budget and the health care plan, that’s a shrinkage in the nation’s investment capital pool of up to $1.9 trillion over the next decade. But that’s only the beginning of the effects. Between Obama’s increased income tax rates, the income tax surcharge in the House health care plan, and state income taxes, the highest marginal income tax rate in most states will approach or exceed 50 percent. That will hugely discourage savings and investment by the affluent.”

“This tax-the-rich approach is justified as a matter of social justice. The government needs money, goes Democratic thinking, and it is fairer to get it from the rich than the middle class or the poor. Democrats also tend to believe that large disparities in income and large accumulations of wealth are evils to be ameliorated in their own right. The rich already pay a higher percentage of federal income taxes than they make in income. And the true social justice question shouldn’t be whether income or wealth disparities are increasing, but whether the lot of the poor is improving. Concentrating on the latter question leads to entirely different policy choices than concentrating on disparities.” (emphasis added)

Robb’s back to Adam Smith basics is brilliant, thus I’ve  perhaps over quoted in this post. What I suggest is a read of the whole article and selected comments following the article which are displayed by clicking on “COMMENTS” at the end of the article.

Tom Motherway

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Yucca Update: NV4CFE Website is Live

This is an update on our recent dinner presentation on the Yucca Energy Park, see Yucca Mountain=Jobs and Money For Nevada. Gene Humphrey, Mike Nusbaum and John Dunn are proceeding apace with the non-profit entity, Nevadans 4 Carbon Free Energy. Their new website, while still being constructed is live and open for business and any comments you want to share; check it out, http://nv4cfe.org. Sign up for email alerts on the right column, you can also get the latest news there, and  by clicking the education tab at the top you have access to a DOE video describing the Yucca construction and testing being accomplished.

Tom Motherway

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Tenure, Unions, Administrative Bloat=Public School Education

Today’s WSJ editorial, No (Tenured) Teacher Left Behind, addressed the problem of tenure in our public school systems. Tenure, the contractual right not to face employment termination without just cause, has been used in colleges and universities to insure academic freedom. It’s used in the federal judiciary to guarantee judicial independence. It has become a handicap to competent jurisprudence and quality secondary public education.

While academic freedom at the university level can arguably be justified given the variety of disciplines and research orientation, there is no possible justification for tenure at the secondary level. At the university level tenure is earned by research and publication over several initial years of work; if not granted after a stated period it is never granted. At the secondary level public employee teachers are granted tenure as a matter of course, typically after three years. No real qualification is required other than not showing up on a police blotter during those initial years! Public school administrators typically find less than 2% of new teachers unsatisfactory even though students fail to meet basic academic standards year after year and even in LA where the drop out rate is 35% and growing. Finally, “academic freedom” at the primary and secondary levels is an oxymoron!

Tenure as fostered by the teachers unions begets the mediocrity for which unions are generally known. There is no striving for excellence only striving for conformity and strength in numbers. As I have said ad nauseam, public employee unions have no place in our political system; the unholy alliance between union members and politicians will bankrupt our society. This is especially true in education where we are dealing with our most precious resource, our future!

What about Nevada? We spend way in excess of inflation, a 48% increase in Nevada’s education spending from 2006 to 2009! Yet we consistently have test scores lower than the national average. (See the National Center for Education Statistics)

We need a system in which excellent teachers can be retained and financially rewarded. We need a system in which the deadwood, protected by tenure and teachers unions, can be discarded.

So when you hear cries against education cuts please remember that spending has grown dramatically beyond the combination of population growth and inflation over the last several years. Student progress as measured by test scores has not kept pace. So a logical conclusion would be to look for educational barriers elsewhere. I submit that tenure along with teachers unions would be good places to start.

Tom Motherway

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