Archive for March, 2010

Obama’s List……..Of Promises Broken

Perhaps you have seen Jim Geraghty’s NRO article, A Long Post: The Complete List of Obama Statement Expiration Dates, detailing this president’s credibility–or lack thereof. That’s a well documented read. But if your more inclined to music as I am, and in this case interlaced with original source material, you’ll enjoy Michael Fischer’s performance of, The Great Reneger, his own composition:

No Comments

Bitten By GAAP, Obama Threatens

Bravo DayByDayCartoon.com

2 Comments

Economic Effect of Propping Up “Values”

I’m not an economist but it seems to me that Obama’s strategy of propping up values is a wrongheaded diseconomy. Whether it’s the bailout of GM and Chrysler with its concomitant effect of propping up UAW wages and benefits or the HAMP program designed to avoid foreclosures of underwater home mortgages, the economic effects are negative in the long range. In each case an artificial value is “supported” with confiscated money in the form of increased taxes.

The results are several and all bad:

  • Potential sales of these assets by economic buyers will be delayed because a market clearing price cannot be reached without foreclosure.
  • Potential private market loans using these assets as security will be delayed for the same reason.
  • Necessary valuations of these assets whether as security or for tax purposes will be artificial casting doubt on the results of the valuations. Shareholders or lenders have no real idea of the economic value of GM. County governments have no confidence the the assessment value of the underwater home and thus continue to over spend or commit tax revenues.
  • Owners of these assets continue contributing to the support of these assets instead of choosing more economic alternatives, for instance renting instead of buying.
  • Investment capital is reduced or destroyed by tax increases needed to support the government action.
  • The credit of the government is damaged by the debt increases necessary to support the government action.
  • And general economic uncertainty is created by the delay in the recognition of real market valuations.

Japan should present a lesson. Its bubble economy of the ’80s in real estate and equities was fostered by cheap money and the close relationship between businesses, banks and government bureaucrats. When the bubble burst in 1990 the valuations continued to be supported by the banks funding one bad loan to repay another. Write downs and write offs were avoided or deferred. Uncertainty prevailed. Business decreased and deflation ensued. All government attempts at rescue were premised on the hope that prices would recover, but they didn’t. Prices decreased with sustained deflation. Savings increased as money was more valuable than goods or services. Consumption obviously decreased. The decade of the ’90s is thus referred to as the lost decade.

So the equation of cheap expansionary monetary policy (Greenspan) and government supported value inflation (Fannie/Freddie subprime lending) created artificial values which government policy now hopes to sustain by avoiding foreclosures and real bankruptcies. Market clearing prices are avoided and economic activity is decreased.

Yesterday’s Democratic umbrage at major companies recognizing GAAP losses resulting from Obamacare betrays their attitude toward proper valuations. These ignorant socialists have put the nation well down the road to serfdom!

No Comments

Mark Steyn Is Not a Hangover Cure!

How bad can Obamacare get? What’s its effect on the U.S. economy? Mark Steyn’s NRO post, Obamacare Dystopia, gives us a slight indication: When the Bush Medicare Drug plan was added there were many retiree plans that included drug benefits. To incentivize those companies from dumping their retirees on the new Medicare drug plan, “Congress gave them a modest tax break equivalent to 28 percent of the const of the plan.” That has changed.

“Ask yourself this: If you impose a sudden 35 percent tax on something, are you likely to get as much of it? Go on, take a wild guess. On the day President Obama signed Obamacare into law, Verizon sent an e-mail to all its employees warning that the company’s costs “will increase in the short term.” And in the medium term? Well, U.S. corporations that are able to do so will get out of their prescription-drug plans and toss their retirees onto the Medicare pile. So far just three companies — Deere, Caterpillar, and ValeroEnergy— have calculated that the loss of the deduction will add a combined $265 million to their costs. There are an additional 3,500 businesses presently claiming the break. The cost to taxpayers of that 28 percent benefit is about $665 per person. The cost to taxpayers of equivalent Medicare coverage is about $1,200 per person. So we’re roughly doubling the cost of covering an estimated 5 million retirees.”

This is all so silly when you think that the tax favored employee medical insurance system has no reasonable basis in economics. It is compensation and should be treated as such, but isn’t under our tax law. And this is the source of our problems. But rather than acknowledge this and put consumers in control, Obama has chosen to put government in control regardless of the costs. Dependency is created.

Mark goes onto treat the facts that we can’t afford Obamacare given our current near bankrupt status with Democratic welfare unfunded liabilities and that this will inevitably bring a VAT tax added to our current tax structure that will doom us to peon status. He then looks ahead:

“All of the above is pretty much a safe bet. What about the imponderables? Even Obama hasn’t yet asked the CBO to cost out, say, what happens to the price of oil when the Straits of Hormuz are under a de facto Iranian nuclear umbrella — as they will be soon, because the former global hyperpower, which now gets mad over a few hundred housing units in Jerusalem, is blasé and insouciant about the wilder shores of the mullahs’ dreams. Or suppose, as seems to be happening, the Sino-Iranian alliance were to result in a reorientation of global oil relationships, or the Russo-Iranian friendship bloomed to such a degree that, between Moscow’s control of Europe’s gas supply and Teheran’s new role as Middle Eastern superpower, the economy of the entire developed world becomes dependent on an alliance profoundly hostile to it.”

Obama has set his course to ruin this nation. Pray that he fails!

No Comments

Party’s Over……….Hangover Starts

As Pelosi said, “we have to pass this bill so that you can find out what is in it.” Well, it’s still early, but we’re starting to find out. And it looks ugly. Publicly traded companies can’t hide, lie, and obfuscate bad news like the Democrats do, so Caterpillar announced a medical cost increase of at least $100 million in the first year alone. Deere and Verizon followed warning of a cost increase as a result of Obamacare. You can bet these announcements will be followed by more like them with consequent impact on employees and shareholders alike. See: WSJ’s Obamacare Day One, and Deer, Caterpillar: Health-Care Law to Raise Expenses.

But it’s not only public companies that will be effected. I spoke with a small Reno business owner about Obamacare impacts. This employer now provides healthcare to its 25 employees at significant expense and significant employee contribution. Under the new law, it will drop healthcare coverage and the employees can under the government insurance exchange obtain healthcare at approximately the same costs as they are contributing to the current group policy. Business profits improve, employees have the same expenses with the government subsidized insurance. Only the taxpayers lose.

Wait, that’s a gross understatement. Not only do the taxpayers lose now, but their children and grandchildren are saddled with staggering public debt and unfunded liabilities from Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security. And now Obama has added a new, gigantic unfunded liability.

Thanks Nancy, we’re now starting to find out what’s in it!

No Comments

Obama Exempt From Obamacare!

Yes, despite several Republican attempts to have all Americans included in Obamacare they failed in the effort according to a Washington Times editorial today, No Obamacare for Obama! Obama has preached that the new healthcare will affect “every American family.” But Biden has corrected this falsehood and admitted that Obamacare will only apply to “ordinary Americans.” So, if I understand this correctly, it won’t apply to “extraordinary” Americans.

The Republican attempts at inclusiveness were frustrated by unions representing federal workers, the same unions that supported Obamacare. Then they tried to block an exemption for Congressional leadership and personal staff but this too was frustrated and senior officials of the executive branch including the president, vice president and cabinet members were also exempted.

As a result we have congressional staff that drafted the 2000+ page monstrosity exempt from its effects. We have unions who supported it exempt. We have Democratic leaders who voted for it out. And we have the president and senior administration officials exempt.

Bottom line, Obamacare is not good enough for Obama and his family. He’s just too “extraordinary!” Oh to be one of the ruling elite!

No Comments

Dennis Prager, “It’s a Civil War”

Prager posts a dynamite column at RCP today, positing Sunday’s Obamacare vote as “the biggest step ever down a road diametrically opposed ” to America’s “original intent of keeping the state small so that the individual can be free and great.” He prescribes seven “to dos:”

1. Know and teach America’s core values. 2. Recognize that we are fighting the left, not liberals. 3. Democrats should be referred to as Social Democrats. 4. Work tirelessly to repeal the bill. 5. Our motto: “Th bigger the government, the smaller the citizen.” 6. Do not let other matters distract. And, 7. Acknowledge that we are in a non-violent civil war.

Dennis Prager’s contribution to #1 is a video, “The American Trinity,” which follows:

Something to think about.

No Comments

It Took Quite a Few to Pull Off Obamacare!

Conscience Is Never A Problem

No Comments

Cover-Up With Diversion

Why has Hussein Obama single handedly created a crisis with Israel? He has ordered Secretary Clinton to present Netanyahu with a detailed ultimatum! All over some trumped up building plans in East Jerusalem. In effect he’s blaming Israel for all that is wrong in the Middle East.

Caroline Glick in her RCP post, Obama’s War on Israel, speculates on some intriguing answers:

  • His assault on Israel is related to the failure of his Iran policy. He has residential construction to blame for Iran’s bad behavior and nuclear nose thumbing!
  • He hopes to bring down Netanyahu and replace him with the leftist Tzipi Livni as more of an Obama puppet.
  • He prefers dealing with the unelected Arab dictators in Iran and Syria to the democratically elected Israeli government and downgrading relations with the latter is a condition to better dealings with the dictators who want to exterminate Israel.

Since his election Hussein Obama has been on a world-wind tour bowing, scraping and apologizing for America. He denies the country’s greatness and exceptionalism. It was telling that in doing so he equated America to Greece, that bankrupt PIIG and member of “club Med.”

It is obvious that Obama has failed in Iran and failed generally in the region. He has demonstrated his personal weakness to ally and for alike and now seems to prefer kissing up the Arab dictators. I suspect that there is a reason his middle name is Hussein.

It would be one thing if Obama were simply an embarrassment to his countrymen, but his policies in the region have truly put American security at greater risk. 2012 can’t come too soon; we need a strong president who will keep this country safe.

No Comments

Agenda of Spreading Dependency

George Will’s RCP post today, A Victory for Obama’s Agenda of Spreading Dependency, focuses on the missed opportunity for health-care reform, the grime of the Democrats’ vote buying, and the ultimate desire for complete control through dependency creation. Some excerpts:

On missed opportunity for real reform: “Health care will not be seriously revisited for at least a generation, so the system’s costliest defect — untaxed employer-provided insurance, which entangles a high-inflation commodity, health care, with the wage system — remains. Obama could not challenge this without adopting measures — e.g., tax credits for individuals, enabling them to shop for their own insurance — that empower individuals and therefore conflict with his party’s agenda of spreading dependency.”

On the vote buying:”Because logrolling is how legislative coalitions are cobbled together in a continental nation, the auction by which reluctant House Democrats were purchased has been disillusioning only to sentimentalists with illusions about society’s stock of disinterestedness. Besides, some of the transactions were almost gorgeous: Government policy having helped make water scarce in California’s Central Valley, the party of expanding government secured two votes by increasing rations of the scarcity. Thus did one dependency lubricate legislation that establishes others.”

On dependency: “Promoting dependency is the Democratic Party’s vocation. It knows that almost all entitlements are forever, and those that are not — e.g., the lifetime eligibility for welfare, repealed in 1996 — are not for the middle class. Democrats believe, plausibly, that middle-class entitlements are instantly addictive and, because there is no known detoxification, that class, when facing future choices between trimming entitlements or increasing taxes, will choose the latter. The taxes will disproportionately burden high earners, thereby tightening the noose of society’s dependency on government for investments and job-creation.”

Obama’s course accelerates our journey on the road to serfdom. Sad that none of these socialists think of their children and grandchildren. Ultimately, they are really a selfish lot. And Obama is truly a post-American president, denying all the attributes that make us a great nation.  Will’s excellent article is worth the read.

No Comments