Archive for category Nationalized Health Care
Re-election Chances: Pelosi, No Sweat–Reid, “Angry-Mob Unpopular”
Posted by Tom in Democrats, Nationalized Health Care, Nevada, Politics on March 8, 2010
Saturday Night Live’s skit on Obamacare focused on the final push and how it jives with re-election chances. Quite funny:
the Spending Limitations Amendment would eventually put us on a sustainable path
Posted by Tom in Centrally Managed Economy, Congress, Constitution, Deficit, Financial Crisis, Financial Policy, Monetary Policy, National Debt, Nationalized Health Care, Statism on March 6, 2010
Even without any more stimulus, bailouts, Obamacare, or cap and trade the US is on a course to bankruptcy. Consider:
- In the past five years federal spending has increased 42% to nearly 25% of the economy, the highest level since World War II.
- The deficit has exploded from $318 Billion in 2005 to $1.4 Trillion, a 400+% increase, equal to the entire accumulation of debt from George Washington to Bill Clinton.
As James Antle points out in his American Spectator article, Amending the Spending, “this will be remembered as a golden era of fiscal responsibility compared to what is to come.” Again I emphasize, this is even without Obamacare, added stimulus, bailouts, etc. With demographic certitude, as baby boomers retire, social security, medicare, and medicaid as we know them will be bankrupt. THE PUBLIC DEBT WILL EXCEED 110% OF THE ECONOMY IN 2026 AND CLIMB PAST 200% BY 2040! Again, this is without Obamacare, added stimulus, bailouts, etc.!
Three congressmen, Mike Pence (R-Ind.), Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas) and John Campbell (R-Calif.) have proposed a constitutional amendment to cap federal spending at 20% of the U.S. economy. The limit would be waived only when an official declaration of war is in effect or by two-thirds majorities of both houses of Congress. 20% is the historic average share of the economy consumed by the federal government.
The backers admit that Republicans are just as spendthrift as Democrats. They are not naive about getting it passed, 5000 amendments have been offered and only 27 enacted! But the mood of the country seems to be shifting to a serious concern for the current fiscal insanity.
If they’re correct, and the amendment has some legs, the country can get off the current unsustainable course and onto a path that’s fiscally sustainable.
Tom Motherway
What’s Obama Up To?
Posted by Tom in Centrally Managed Economy, Deficit, Democrats, Economics, Financial Crisis, Individual Freedom, National Character, National Debt, Nationalized Health Care, State Finances, Statism, Taxation on March 5, 2010
On paper Obama appears to be a smart guy and reasonably well informed. I suspect he knows:
- We face $1.4 Trillion annual deficits for the next decade.
- Our current national debt is $12.3 Trillion and will grow by $1 Trillion a year.
- Estimated unfunded liabilities from social security and medicare are $107 Trillion.
- States with aggregate deficits of $350 Billion, debt of $1.9 Trillion, and unfunded liabilities of $1.4 Trillion are asking for federal handouts.
- Unemployment is 9+% with private sector growth stalled.
Why then would he promote a radical takeover of healthcare with 10 year costs of $2.3 Trillion that adds $1.86 Trillion to the deficit over the next 20 years, that creates employment taxes and mandates, each discouraging private sector employment, and that fails to solve the demographically certain failure of medicare, social security and medicaid? We’ve proven our inability to handle two, no three if you include medicaid, major entitlements, why add another? And why would he risk his party’s control of Congress and his own ability to govern to attain this goal that a majority of Americans don’t want?
Obama is smart enough to know that Obamacare will exacerbate the financial straights of the United States. It’s uncertainty will decrease private sector employment. It’s taxes will decrease private capital for investment. It will cede financial and technological leadership to other countries. In short, we will be worse off tomorrow than we are today. Why would he risk that…want that?
It is clear that he knowingly intends to drive us further to the brink. It is also clear that given his apparent intelligence he has an end-game in mind. Take our admitted crisis, you know the “never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste” kind, explode it into a gigantic, off-the-clff catastrophe, then come up with a one-of-a-kind, popular solution that involves “shared pain” and if we are all lucky, someday “shared gain.” Call it a Cloward-Piven Strategy on steroids. (See: Cloward-Piven Strategy: Is It Obama’s? and references cited therein.)
As Larry Kudlow said in NRO, One Giant Government Leap Backwards,” One of the most galling features of this plan is a taxpayer-subsidized government-insurance entitlement for people earning up to 400 percent above the poverty line, or nearly $100,000 for a family of four. In other words, a middle-class health-care entitlement that will add millions of people to the federal dole. It’s all too reminiscent of the political dictum of the old New Dealer Harry Hopkins: tax and tax, spend and spend, elect and elect.”
So will Obama’s “Fiscal Responsibility and Reform Commission” turn out to be the VAT Commission with a European 12% sales tax on top of the income tax, excise tax, etc. And those on top of the various state sales, income and property taxes? All this to finance BIG GOVERNMENT? If so, we will then all have the advantage of being “in the same boat,” “equal,” and “happy” in an ever declining country and economy.
So for the literarily inclined, Obama wants us on Hayek’s Road to Serfdom where we will encounter Orwell’s Animal Farm with 1984’s Big Brother in control. As Obama recently said in response to a push-back, “we won the election.” And win the next election and the next, he aims to do with the creation of more and more dependency on him and less and less individual responsibility.
I won’t be around to witness the outcome but I hope the next generation will become informed and engaged, lest our grandchildren and great-grandchildren suffer horrible consequences.
Tom Motherway
A Politician Who Tells the Hard Truth
Posted by Tom in Deficit, Nationalized Health Care, Politics, Social Security, Welfare on March 4, 2010
I listened to Chris Matthews MSNBC’s leftist Obama fan at the Bohemian Grove last summer and met him after the panel discussion; he is indeed liberal. That made me appreciate all the more his recent interview with Representative Paul Ryan from Wisconsin. The “unsustainability” of the current welfare system is the topic and Chris recognizes our need to defend ourselves at the same time, but he doesn’t seem to connect the dots!
In any case, I like this guy, Ryan.
Tom Motherway
President Obama Lies to Take Over Healthcare
Posted by Tom in Centrally Managed Economy, Deficit, National Debt, Nationalized Health Care on March 4, 2010
Yesterday, Barack Hussein Obama flanked by doctor props in white coats, urged passage of his Obamacare. (Teleprompter first, now props, what next?) He offered the following points in support of Obamacare:
- “my proposal would bring down the costs of healthcare for millions–families, businesses and the federal government.”
- it is “fully paid for.”
- it “brings down our deficit by up to $1 trillion over the next two decades.”
Despite the president saying that everything about healthcare has been said what hasn’t been said or heard, as stated euphemistically in today’s WSJ, is that there is not one shred of honesty in what Obama is saying about the true cost of Obamacare. In short, HE LIES!
Paul Ryan is the white knight truth teller here:
- 10 years of payments for 6 years of benefits–true 10 year normalized cost is $2.3 Trillion, not the $950 Billion sold by Obama.
- double counting $52 Billion in social security taxes as offsets, even though they are reserved for social security–aren’t we obligated to pay social security?
- double counting $72 Billion from the long-term care insurance program and counts them as offsets even though they are obligated to pay for long-term care. Democratic Senate Budget Chair, Kent Conrad, said this was a Ponzi scheme that would make Bernie Madoff proud!
- $500 Billion raided from Medicare to go as an offset when the chief actuary of Medicare says that this will cause 20% of Medicare providers to go out of business or stop seeing Medicare patients!
- “doc fix” $371 Billion is taken out of Medicare, used as an offset, then put back into a separate bill which the CBO does not count against Obamacare.
- cost curve is bent up not down, the chief Medicare actuary says Obamacare increases costs by $222 billion.
- Obamacare raises the deficit by $460 Billion for the first 10 years and $1.4 Trillion for the second 10 years; total added deficit for two decades is $1.860 Trillion.
These points were clearly made to Obama by Paul Ryan and the chief Medicare actuary. (see: Obama Can’t Answer Paul Ryan, and Paul Ryan LIVE–Ya gotta love this guy.)
Yet Obama stood up yesterday with doc props, gimmicks, double counting, and “doc fix” subterfuge, and LIED TO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE. Shame on him.
Tom Motherway
Where’s the Consumer?
Posted by Tom in Economics, Nationalized Health Care on March 1, 2010
Cato’s Michael Tanner faults both parties for not focusing on the consumer in the recent “health care summit,” Bipartisan Indifference to Controlling Health Care Costs. Echoing the points he made in our video conference link last year, Tanner wants the consumer in charge of consumptions. He argues that the Democrats appear to view consumers as a class that needs protection and the Republicans only give lip service to consumer focused health care. He argues for high-deductible policies. When these are coupled with Health Savings Accounts, consumers make intelligent, cost-conscious choices. Insurance is meant to cover major unexpected illness or disease. “Insurance is ultimately meant to spread the risk of catastrophic events, not to simply prepay your healthcare.” Currently, we have third party payers–in effect someone else is paying for our health care, it’s free, so why not overuse it.
“Think of it this way. If every time you went to the grocery store, someone else paid 87 percent of your bill, not only would you eat a lot more steak and a lot less hamburger — but so would your dog. And food costs would go up for everyone.”
“The RAND Health Insurance Experiment, the largest study ever done of consumer health purchasing behavior, provides ample evidence that consumers can make informed cost-value decisions about their health care. Under the experiment, insurance deductibles were varied from zero to $1,000. Those with no out-of-pocket costs consumed substantially more health care than those who had to share in the cost of care. Yet, with a few exceptions, the effect on outcomes was minimal.”
“And, in the real world, we have seen far smaller increases in the cost of those services, like Lasik eye surgery or dental care, that are not generally covered by insurance, than for those procedures that are insured.”
Simple solution: 1) Tax employer provided insurance as the compensation it is. 2) Eliminate state line barriers to insurance competition. 3) Incentivize HSAs. 4) Allow tax credit/deduction for high-deductible policies. 5) And, enact significant tort reform capping damages. In short let the consumer decide. I can tell you it worked at the company I was associated with here in Reno: the employees loved it, the employer reduced premium expenses.
Sadly, Obama showed his true colors by denouncing high-deductible insurance and greater consumer cost sharing as “not real insurance.” He wants control, increased consumer dependency, and the power to dictate the economy. In short, BIG GOVERNMENT!
Tom Motherway
“You Can’t Borrow Against the Future…You Don’t Have One”
Posted by Tom in Centrally Managed Economy, Deficit, Democrats, Nationalized Health Care, Statism, Welfare on February 27, 2010
I can’t say it any better than Mark Steyn does in today’s NRO post, When Responsibility Doesn’t Pay. Here are a few lines as a tease to the whole article–a must read if there ever was one!
“While Barack Obama was making his latest pitch for a brand-new, even-more-unsustainable entitlement at the health-care “summit,” thousands of Greeks took to the streets to riot. An enterprising cable network might have shown the two scenes on a continuous split-screen — because they’re part of the same story. It’s just that Greece is a little further along in the plot: They’re at the point where the canoe is about to plunge over the falls. America is farther upstream and can still pull for shore, but has decided instead that what it needs to do is catch up with the Greek canoe. Chapter One (the introduction of unsustainable entitlements) leads eventually to Chapter Twenty (total societal collapse): The Greeks are at Chapter Seventeen or Eighteen.”
“What’s happening in the developed world today isn’t so very hard to understand: The 20th-century Bismarckian welfare state has run out of people to stick it to. In America, the feckless, insatiable boobs in Washington, Sacramento, Albany, and elsewhere are screwing over our kids and grandkids. In Europe, they’ve reached the next stage in social-democratic evolution: There are no kids or grandkids to screw over. The United States has a fertility rate of around 2.1 — or just over two kids per couple. Greece has a fertility rate of about 1.3: Ten grandparents have six kids have four grandkids — ie, the family tree is upside down. Demographers call 1.3 “lowest-low” fertility — the point from which no society has ever recovered. And, compared to Spain and Italy, Greece has the least worst fertility rate in Mediterranean Europe.”
“So you can’t borrow against the future because, in the most basic sense, you don’t have one. Greeks in the public sector retire at 58, which sounds great. But, when ten grandparents have four grandchildren, who pays for you to spend the last third of your adult life loafing around?”
Click on the link above and read on….you’ll see that California is further along in the chapters!
Obama Can’t Answer Paul Ryan
Posted by Tom in Deficit, Democrats, Government Regulation, National Debt, Nationalized Health Care, Statism, Taxation on February 25, 2010
Stephen Spruiell’s succinct report today in NRO, Ducking and Dodging, clearly sets out the Obamacare fiscal deficiencies highlighted today by Paul Ryan. Representative Ryan blasted Obama’s “insurance care” today and none of the Democrats could counter his arguments. Basically he pointed out that Obamacare front-loads tax hikes and Medicare cuts and defers costs, forcing the CBO to score ten years of offsets with only six years of spending! The true cost of the bill is $2.3 Trillion not the $950 Billion advertised by Obama.
Ryan focused further on other Democratic gimmicks:
- Double Counting: “savings” are counted as offsets for spending and at the same time reserved to pay for future entitlements. Example, $52 Billion in Social Security tax increases.
- “Doc Fix”: The bill’s 21% cut in Medicare reimbursements is put back in via separate legislation not subjected to combined CBO scoring.
And what does the wimpy Obama say in response? “We have some strong disagreements on the numbers, but I don’t want to get too bogged down!” If there were disagreement you would think he would have answered the criticisms.
As for getting bogged down, Obama should start getting real bogged down in his record breaking deficits, unsustainable national debt and bankrupting unfunded liabilities. Instead he is hell-bent-for-leather to add to that trio of financial irresponsibility. And this at a time of high unemployment when small businesses won’t hire because of the uncertainty, regulation and taxes proposed with Obamacare!
I guess destruction of our economy is a small price to pay for these socialists to gain total control of that economy. You’d think they would see it as a bad bargain.
I pity our future generations.
Tom Motherway
When Insurance Is Not Insurance
Posted by Tom in Deficit, Individual Freedom, Nationalized Health Care, Taxation on February 24, 2010
The Democrats’ goal of healthcare rapidly turned into health “insurance” care. This to supposedly provide healthcare to some inflated numbers of people who had no healthcare. But by law everyone has healthcare, just get to the emergency room and you will be cared for with or without insurance. So the leftist needed another tack to take over 16% of the U.S. economy. Thus Obamacare magically became Obama insurance.
Health insurance is not “insurance” in any true sense of the word. True insurance is a contingent indemnity against loss provided by a business that assesses and pools specific risks. As Clifford Asness states in his Bloomberg.com article today, “Don’t Ask” Is No Way to Run Health Care, “true insurance comprises two things: The first is a goal: to protect against very large losses. The second on is a method: the proper assessment and pricing of risk.” So fire insurance assesses the risk of occurrence of fire in a specific location and the expected degree of damage from fire in that location. Facts and circumstances like construction type, proximity to a fire plug or station, and repair or replacement costs are taken into account. Since others need such insurance like risks will be pooled and spread by the insurance company. To cover expected losses, that company will maintain reserves and beyond that has its owners capital. Companies can incur underwriting profits or losses depending on their experience in the specific insurance pools.
Health “insurance” in this country amounts to prepaid health care expenses. It does not indemnify against only large risks but prepays for every cold and sniffle. In fact it is practically speaking the only way in which medical providers get paid for their services. It is this fact–third party payment–that causes overuse and unnecessary costs.
Think about it. Employer provided insurance benefits are an expensive cost of compensation, yet they are not taxable as compensation to the insured employee, even though they are deductible to the employer. From the employee’s perspective, medical service is a free service.
“Having businesses offer full health coverage almost from the first dollar spent is phenomenally inefficient. Health care is over-consumed because it is essentially, at the margin, free to employees and too cheap — fully deductible — to the company. All incentive for the consumer to control costs is abandoned. Furthermore, the system is nonportable and famously bureaucratic, with the associated costs in time, money and frustration.
“To put the “insurance” back in health insurance, we need to remove the tax deduction for routine health-care expenses, whether the coverage is purchased by employers or individuals. If we choose to retain a deduction for insurance against large losses, it should apply equally to plans bought by individuals directly and those provided by employers.
“Among other benefits, this would remove a large tax deduction and the savings could be used to reduce other tax burdens. It would also solve the portability problem because without a tax advantage at work most individuals would purchase their own insurance. Most importantly, by buying their own insurance, designed to protect against only relatively large losses, individuals would become conscious of medical costs.”
In short, we need Consumer Driven Health Care (CDHC) where consumer pays for what he gets. He will spend economically both on high deductible insurance and generic drugs. His policy will be portable. It will be highly competitive if companies can cover across state lines and if tort reform reduces the costs of defensive medicine. With increased use of Health Savings Accounts costs will be further reduced. And yes, major pre-existing diseases can be inexpensively covered by subsidized high risk pools.
Tom Motherway
Health Care, Public Education Employment Better Than Average!
Posted by Tom in Deficit, Democrats, Education Facts & Policies, Nationalized Health Care, Nevada on February 15, 2010
Did you ever wonder why the inflation rates in health care and public education are higher than general inflation? Simple answer is that some one other than the patient or student is paying the bill. In some cases this is called welfare in others loans and in still others grants. In all cases some one else is paying.
Who is that some one else? YOU, OF COURSE! Taxpayers are paying but not consuming. So who is checking to see that health and education services are delivered efficiently? NO ONE!
Here’s the data comparing employment costs: All workers 2005=100, December 2009=111.2, 2.8% per year. Health care hospitals 2005=100, December 2009=113.3. 3.3% per year. Education services 2005=100, December 2009=113.1, 3.3 per year. See the Bureau of Labor Statistics report here.
As in the case with other third party payers, the real consumers, the patients and the students, don’t shop options and question prices and charges. The providers know this and know with certainty that they can charge what the “market” will bear. There really is no true market in the sense of competitive pricing. Where public employee unions are involved the situation is exacerbated. Salaries and benefits are raised by the politicians who are supported by the unions whose members’ salaries and benefits are raised. A vicious and unholy alliance!
So, in the case of Obamacare, the unions elect the Democrats, the Democrats raise their salaries, wages and benefits creating deficit spending and unfunded liabilities, the Democrats then claim we have a problem with the costs of healthcare so they propose to exacerbate that problem with Obamacare adding to the deficits, national debt and unfunded liabilities. Hell of a deal for the taxpayers! And a worse deal for their grandchildren!
Tom Motherway