Archive for category Wall Street
Government Competency–An Oxymoron!
Posted by Tom in Democrats, Financial Policy, Government Regulation, Real Estate, Wall Street on February 12, 2010
Government residential real estate finance is the subject. Whether that is a proper role for government is one question; another is whether government is the dumb patsy that makes the smart guys rich. Let’s start with a video Ron Tomsic sent me yesterday, The Indymac Slap in Our Face, on the Think Big Work Small website, which tells of the profitable, rent-seeking relationship between the Federal Government and a Goldman Sachs/George Soros bank, OneWest Bank. Since these fellows are playing fast and loose with your money, please link to the video before reading on.
To verify the government locked in profit given to these Obama fat cats, I checked with Mark Toomey, our real estate finance expert. Mark’s comment:
“I’ve seen this video at least twenty times this week. Sadly, it’s pretty accurate. The $75,000 note from the consumer may reflect a judgment against the borrower for a non purchase money second and if that’s the case, I highly doubt they’ll ever collect it; more than likely, it will be included in the inevitable BK the consumer is headed toward.”
Worse yet seems to be the regulatory snafu our bureaucrats at Fannie/Freddie, the Fed, and HUD have caused with conflicting regulations the incidental benefit of which will be to keep the trial lawyers in business. Another Democratic constituency!
Mark continues: “Honestly, I think the bigger story is one the media will not pick up on for another two weeks. Residential lending has been virtually shut down in the last week now that the new GFE regulations have been fully enacted. Three dueling regulatory bodies have merged in to the perfect storm. My weekly conference call with the fixed income guys at Blackrock have turned in to a death watch of sorts; the scenario’s I laid out to them in December (ones at which we all laughed) have now come to pass, and we may very well be looking at the last decent funding month for residential mortgages nationwide. The pre-pay speeds have dropped off the table in the last ten days, and it is getting worse. Kiss getting a VA loan good bye.”
(Definitions: “GFE” means good faith estimate typically dealing with all essential and non-essential elements of a real estate closing. “Pre-pay speeds” mean the anticipated rate of pre-payments assumed by secondary market buyers of mortgage pools.)
Mark concluded with his dark Irish humor: “Greece today, New York tomorrow. Guns and gold, Tom, guns and gold.”
When government gets into businesses it shouldn’t be in the opportunities for incompetency and fraud are multiplied exponentially. The favored fat cats of the liberal left, Wall Street, trial lawyers, unions, etc. profit and all from your tax dollars! Truly a wonderful system we have.
Tom Motherway
Who Owns Obama and the Democrats?
Posted by Tom in Democrats, Economics, Energy Facts & Policies, Environment, Individual Freedom, Politics, Unions, Wall Street on January 29, 2010
There are primarily four major political groups that literally own Obama, Reid, Pelosi and the rest of the Democrats: Unions, particularly the public employee unions. Trial lawyers. Environmentalists. And, Wall Street and Business Rent Seekers. The cost of these relationships to the economy and to our freedom is significant but difficult to completely quantify.
Unions. According to the latest figures overall union membership as a percentage of the workforce has held steady with 2008 at 12.4% and 2009 at 12.3%. Within that overall group, however, the private sector unionization declined from 7.6 to 7.2% while the public sector grew from 36.8 to 37.4%. It’s no secret that Obama favored the unions over the bondholders in his nationalization of GM and Chrysler. Nor is it a secret that his most frequent visitor is Andy Stern who will let you know what they spent to get Obama elected! Oh, and about 1 million of the federal work force are union members, 28% of the wage and salary workforce. As to the effects of this, see my post of January 7th Unions and Excessive Government Compensation.
Trial Lawyers. This is that monopoly of “professionals” who are licensed to represent real or pretended injured people for “contingency fees” of 25-50% of the awards obtained in trial or, more likely, settlement. These “injured” plaintiffs can be investors, cancer patients, or “whiplash” victims. Oftentimes the attorneys advertise to let them know they are “injured” or purchase new issue stock to become self fulfilling injured plaintiffs themselves! Recent cases have highlighted the manufactured testimony that these lawyers pay for, the perjury that they suborn. According to a recent post in OpenSecrets.org, during the last decade the trial lawyer given over 90% of their political contributions to the Democrats. In 2009 $2.86 Million to the Democrats and $140 Thousand to Republicans. Is it any wonder that there are no caps on medical malpractice damages in Obamacare? Thus big awards, large insurance premiums and defensive medicine will continue to drive up medical costs. (In the interest of full disclosure, I was once one of these trial lawyers, but as Woodrow Wilson said, “I have repented of it”)
Environmentalists. This is the most difficult economic drag and freedom surrender to estimate. Consider the ethanol debacle both in terms of costs and free market damage where the government pays producers to produce, forces customers to buy and restricts cheaper imports for a process and substance which increases greenhouse gasses! Consider the recent cap and trade bill passed by the House. Or, how about the CO2 we exhale and the EPA’s intention to regulate it as harmful! Has there been a cost-benefit analysis on the solar, wind, insulation state and federal tax and other subsidies or the wasted economic investment as a result thereof? And all of this for a “global warming science” in which the scientists manipulate the data!
Wall Street and Business Rent Seekers. Now we get to the folks we love to hate, the money guys who have long sucked at the Democratic teat. These folks spend the money to get the edge. They love cap and trade because they will become the traders getting the juice of commissions. They love Barney Frank’s push on Fannie and Freddie for more subprime mortgages because they generated fees from packaging and selling them as securities. Some felt “forced” to deal like drug companies, hospitals and insurance companies in the recent Obamacare debacle. Others just sought advantage over honest competition; in economic terms they are simply rent seekers.
These poor seekers of corporate welfare are the easiest to turn on for political reasons, so Obama is turning on them appearing like the populist he isn’t, while still taking their cash. This is truly fun to watch but is of little significance.
As long as the elite Democratic rulers are literally owned by these very special and influential interests, our economy will flounder and our freedoms will diminish.
FOLLOW UP: Media-Educators. At dinner tonight on this penultimate day of January Bill Collins suggested that Hollywood should have been included in the list of “owners.” Sure enough, common knowledge and a cursory internet search reminds us that Democrats dominate “Tinsel Town.” But this is just one segment of the media, the entertainment segment of the Fourth Estate, if you will. So, it seems incumbent to include the MSM (Main Stream Media) like MSNBC, CBS, ABC, CNN. It’s not too obvious that fawning lap dogs like Chris Matthews or Keith Olbermann are more than a bit biased. Stretching the “media” definition we can easily include the educational establishment. Hard to find a non-Obama hope-change professor on a college campus today. It would seem fair to say that the Media-Educators should indeed be included in the list of owners of Obama and the Democrats. Their influence aside from environmentalism would seem to be more social than economic. Things like “gay marriage” and “don’t ask, don’t tell” interest them. The cost here is to our intelligence and to the future of our society, thus our freedom. This is hard to measure in economic terms. But it is perhaps more critical to our democracy. The lack of education, intelligence in the electorate, and a free press willing to to its critical, investigative job will if continued doom our future.
Pray that the next generations are smarter than ours and will remedy this sorry state of affairs!
Tom Motherway
Obama Makes Positive Step in Bank Regulation
Posted by Tom in Democrats, Financial Crisis, Financial Policy, Government Regulation, Wall Street on January 21, 2010
Today Obama took Paul Volcker’s advice and proposed new restrictions on the size and activities of big banks. Depository institutions will be barred from proprietary trading, that is making bets with depositor money, part of which is insured by the FDIC. The administration will seek tighter limits on the size and concentration of depository institutions; the new restrictions would go beyond the 10% of insured deposits limit. Also these banks could not own, invest in or advise hedge funds or private equity firms. See the January 21st WSJ report here.
While stopping short of Glass-Steagall which would require the complete separation of commercial and investment banking, this is a good proposal. Hopefully it will force some divestitures among the behemoth financial institutions. In any case the taxpayer will be better protected.
Little wonder serious restrictions are necessary. The liberal giant Goldman Sachs, darling of the Democrats, announced fourth quarter earnings today of $4.95 Billion on revenues of $9.62 Billion–that’s an embarrassing 51%! We taxpayers helped them get there!
Taxpayer bailouts of Wall Street firms should never be allowed to happen again. Firms should be forced into bankruptcy, allowed to fail. A few good healthy failures would put a lot more discipline back into the market and go a long way to eliminating moral hazard.
Obama’s proposal took political courage because he is offending his Wall Street bosses. Financial stocks were down in today’s market. Obama should be applauded for this stand.
Tom Motherway
Finally, Some Sense In Financial Regulation?
Posted by Tom in Financial Crisis, Financial Policy, Government Regulation, Wall Street on January 20, 2010
Perhaps, we will see. But a late item in the January 20th WSJ indicates that Obama is finally starting to listen to experienced voices in the White House, specifically that of Paul Volcker, the former Fed Chairman who has been advocating the separation of commercial banking from investment banking.
As covered in my January 14th post, commercial banks are connected with various deposit guarantees to the government but correspondingly traditionally regulated by bank examiners. Investment banks are advisors, underwriters and traders all involving unregulated risk in the traditional sense. Since the Glass-Steagall repeal in 1999 the two systems have merged big time and we taxpayers have taken it in the shorts as a result. The simple solution is to re-initiate Glass-Steagall and break ‘em up, as was done with ATT and others, successfully!
If today’s WSJ post is correct, Obama doesn’t go far enough but seeks to capture the “spirit of Glass-Steagall.” This half step is certainly in the right direction but still leaves the “too big to fail” nightmare intact and the taxpayers footing the bill.
If we are merely willing to structure regulation so that failure can occur, we will return discipline to the financial system. Because the failure will most likely occur on the risky investment banking side where the worldwide banking system will not be at risk. We will avoid moral hazard. And we will save our children and grandchildren from the debilitating deficit bailouts we have recently suffered.
Let’s hope Obama is more willing to forsake his Wall Street money backers than he has been his union employers. And let’s hope continues to listen to Volcker and separates commercial banking from investment banking. We should support him in this effort.
Tom Motherway
The Dog Doesn’t Mind Being Kicked Now and Then As Long As He’s Well Fed and Housed!
Posted by Tom in Democrats, Politics, Stimulus/Bailout, Wall Street on January 15, 2010
My wife Dede got an email from Vice President Joe Biden today soliciting her support for the proposed Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee on the country’s largest banks. “Barack and I aren’t backing down. But to win, we’ll need the American people to add their voice right away.” He then tells her she can add her name at my.barackobama.com!
Wall Street owns the Democrats but often assumes the role of the pet dog, simply for political reasons. As previously mentioned in my December 12th post, Democrats got 11 of the top 15 aggregate contributions given by Wall Street. As Kevin Williamson reports in his NRO post Paying for the Privilege, Goldman Sachs gave 73% of its campaign cash to the Democrats and the VC guys gave 75%!
“But if the Democrats are gluttons for Wall Street money, Wall Street is a glutton for punishment: The president and his party in Congress are engaging in truly dishonest demagoguery — asNational Review has noted, TARP losses aren’t coming from the banks, but from largely Democratic messes including AIG, the automakers’ bailouts, and Rep. Barney Frank’s beloved foreclosure-prevention program. But even as the Democrats demonize Wall Street and vilify Big Business in general, the pinstripes-and-obscene-bonuses set continues to write big checks to Obama’s party.”
So mean old Joe Biden can posture and puff all he wants in Obama’s charade. Wall Street gets what it wants in good times and bad, the Democrats do Wall Street’s bidding. So the lap dog doesn’t mind being kicked occasionally, after all he is extremely well-fed and well-housed!
I sure hope Dede doesn’t sign Barack’s web page!
Tom Motherway